Here is the link to my talk at OctoberQuest 2019.
Thank you Ole Peters for his generosity. And my thanks to Nassim Taleb for being such a wonderful teacher. I used some of the key ideas from Peters and Taleb for this talk.
Link:
I practice what I teach and I teach what I practice.
Here is the link to my talk at OctoberQuest 2019.
Thank you Ole Peters for his generosity. And my thanks to Nassim Taleb for being such a wonderful teacher. I used some of the key ideas from Peters and Taleb for this talk.
Link:
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An eye opener. Even for me who is already with a well diversified portfolio.
Dear Prof. Bakshi, I am a huge fan of your work but wanted to ask that would you include Piramal Enterprises in the same list? I recall PEL being part of your portfolio at some point in time. Is that the primary reason behind its exclusion? Warm regards, Puneet
Sir – How do we explain the success of investors who have achieved success by investing in few stocks only. For e.g Mohnish Pabrai – his most of the capital allocation is in very few stocks (<10). In fact at some point in time, it was only 3-4 stocks. Is it because of their exceptional skill or have they identified the worst possible outcome and then made the investments ? If we just consider skill that might not be appropriate as even the best investors might be wrong (e.g Buffet investment in Kraft Heinz). Mohnish himself claims that he might be wrong 1/3 of the time.
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Hello Prof Bakshi,
the foundation of this presentation has (perspective) error which makes rest of the presentation incorrect.
If I win 50% of wager amount and loss -40% with each bet. The expectancy is negative. Hence it is not an fair game.
100*1.5=150 next bet 140*0.6 = 90
The final balance after two trial is 90 which is 10 less than starting balance.
I think you meant
100*1.5=150 next bet 150*0.6 = 90
Let’s change the odds. To, say, 80% upside and 40% downside.
100*1.8=180 next bet 180*0.6 = 108.
In this bet also, if you keep betting, you’ll eventually lose because all that will take for you to lose would be a long losing streak and the more you play the more the chance that you will get a few long losing streaks. You will only win if you do not bet the entire bankroll on each successive bet.